The Phantom Wealth Problem: Your Net Worth Lies to You
Net worth is one of the most commonly tracked financial metrics.
It’s also one of the most misleading.
Why? Because much of it can be phantom wealth - money that looks impressive on paper but can’t actually fund your life when you need it.
You can have a seven-figure net worth and still struggle to cover unexpected expenses or maintain your lifestyle during transitions.
Let me be clear: Net worth is valuable for tracking long-term progress. But it’s not the complete picture of your financial health.
In today’s newsletter, I’ll break down:
Why net worth calculations can create false confidence
The “phantom wealth” hiding in your balance sheet
What metrics actually matter for sustainable wealth
Let’s dig in ↓
The Primary Residence Trap
Your home might add $500,000 to your net worth.
But you can’t spend it without selling or borrowing. Selling creates 6-10% transaction costs plus lifestyle disruption. Borrowing creates new debt.
Primary residences make up approximately 50% of middle-class household net worth (Federal Reserve data). But they’re not liquid and don’t generate income.
Homeownership provides stability. But counting your home as “usable wealth” creates a dangerous illusion about your actual financial flexibility.
The Business Valuation Illusion
Your private business might be “worth” $5 million on paper.
But private equity valuations are often educated guesses. Liquidity events can take years - or never happen. Most small businesses don’t sell for anywhere near owner expectations.
The risk: Building a lifestyle around paper valuations that may never convert to cash.
Until there’s a liquidity event or consistent cash flow, that value lives on spreadsheets, not in your checking account.
The Illiquid Asset Challenge
Collectibles, private equity, venture capital, real estate partnerships - these can be legitimate portfolio components. But they’re extremely difficult to convert to cash when you need it.
Net worth doesn’t matter if you can’t fund tuition, emergency expenses, or retirement withdrawals when they come due.
The Tale of Two Families
Two families, each with $2 million net worth:
Family A: $1.2M home equity, $750K business value, $50K liquid
Family B: $800K home equity, $1.2M marketable securities, plus reserves
Same net worth. Completely different realities.
Family A feels constant cash flow stress. Any disruption creates crisis.
Family B has options - they can weather downturns or pivot without panic.
The difference isn’t net worth - it’s liquidity.
Liquidity creates optionality. Phantom wealth creates stress disguised as security.
Even Portfolios Can Mislead
Even marketable securities can create phantom wealth if you:
Anchor to peak values ($1.5M last year vs. $1.2M today)
Count unrealized gains as spendable money
Your net worth changes daily with markets. What you see today might be very different next month.
What to Track Instead
Net worth remains valuable for tracking trajectory. But to understand your real position, ask:
How much is liquid? Cash and assets convertible within 30-90 days without penalties.
How much generates income? Actual cash flow from rentals, dividends, distributions - not paper profits.
How much is resilient? Assets that won’t collapse during downturns.
What’s my liquidity ratio? Liquid assets divided by annual expenses.
These metrics reveal your actual financial security better than net worth alone.
Building Usable Wealth
Maintain liquid reserves: Beyond emergency funds, keep flexibility for opportunities and transitions.
Balance growth and access: Choose your illiquidity consciously.
Generate cash flow: Prioritize income-producing assets, not just appreciation.
Base spending on cash flow: Not paper net worth.
Stress-test assumptions: What if your business value drops 50%? Real estate declines?
Net Worth Is a Tool, Not the Goal
Net worth is fantastic for measuring long-term progress. It shows direction and confirms your strategies are working.
But it’s not the complete picture.
Think of it like a bathroom scale - useful data that shows trends, but doesn’t reveal your overall fitness.
Net worth shows financial trajectory but doesn’t reveal liquidity, cash flow resilience, or ability to handle curveballs.
Bottom Line
Net worth can create false security when significant portions are tied up in illiquid assets.
True wealth means:
Liquidity to handle life’s surprises
Flexibility to make choices without constraint
Sustainability through various conditions
Keep tracking net worth - it’s valuable context. But focus more on building wealth you can actually use.
A $3M net worth with $50K liquid creates very different possibilities than $2M with $800K liquid.
See you next week.
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Opulus, LLC (“Opulus”) is a registered investment advisor in Pennsylvania and other jurisdictions where exempted. Registration as an investment advisor does not imply any specific level of skill or training.
The content of this newsletter is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, legal, or accounting advice. It is not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or investments, nor does it endorse any specific company, security, or investment strategy. Readers should not rely on this content as the sole basis for any investment or financial decisions.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. There is no guarantee that any investment strategies discussed will result in profits or avoid losses.
All information is provided “as-is” without any warranties, express or implied. Opulus does not warrant the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Opinions expressed are those of the authors, Ryan Greiser and Francis Walsh, and are subject to change without notice.
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